Monday, September 23, 2013

How to bet on a football team to win - best betting strategy By Andrew Clark

How to bet on a football team to win - best betting strategy: "The most popular way to bet on football is on the outright win-draw-win market. This betting market allows you to bet on a team to win, or the match to be a draw."

In almost every instance you will get one team as favourite to win and the other team will be the outsider with the odds on the draw being pitched somewhere in between. Although people say bookmakers are never wrong, sometimes they over compensate for a favourite and their odds are therefore too short, leaving the value bet in the draw or the other team to win.

The best example of this is when the ‘better’ team are playing away from home. You will regularly see a strong away team under-priced on the betting market and this leaves the value in the draw bet or a bet on the home team to win, at more attractive odds. Using this football betting system also works if you are looking at accumulator bets, our advice would be to avoid short priced away teams in any multiple bets. Despite them being the stronger side on paper a look at their opposition is key and there are certainly some teams where the bigger clubs do not like to play e.g. Everton, Fulham and Sunderland.

When the ‘better’ team are playing at home you will often see some very unattractive odds e.g. 1/3, 1/4 or shorter. These odds are no good to the standard punter (betting £4 to get a return of £5 is hardly a fool-proof system) and in this instance picking a couple of short price home teams for an accumulator could be the better betting system, although the more selections you choose the bigger the risk. Then you might be better off looking on casino.bwin.be/en/ for lower risk opportunities of winning.

Finally you could look at a betting system surrounding the draw market. When two teams are closely matched you will often find a short price for the draw (around 2/1) and these are probably best avoided but if the favourite is playing away from home the odds for the draw could be anything over 5/2, giving a respectable betting proposition and the value of the match.

The key with betting on the win-draw-win market is you have a good knowledge of the teams including any injuries or suspensions, the current form of both teams (both home and away) and the history of the fixture in question.

If you stick to these simple rules then the system of betting on the outright market could make your football betting profitable.

Beat the bookmakers with this two way bet betting system By Andrew Clark

Beat the bookmakers with this two way bet betting system: "Any time you see bookies trying sell 'special' new bets, you can bet your bottom dollar that they are trying to steer us away from more lucrative and flexible alternatives. "

One relatively recent example of this is so called 'double chance' bets, which offer two bites at the cherry – a team to win or draw – all in one easy bet. At an artificially reduced price. This market can look particularly tempting when you are sure that a team's odds are too long, but are not sure whether they will win or draw.

Matches that fit this criteria present themselves with alarming regularity as bookies price up 'big teams' at too-short odds on prices to limit their liabilities on lumpy singles, patriotic punts from one eyed fans, and floods of accas from the casual Saturday coupon brigade. As a result, the odds on their opponents and the draw are usually very juicy indeed.

One prime example from the 2011/12 season springs to mind immediately – Liverpool's happy knack of repeatedly failing to win at home. Despite this, they were priced up again and again as if they were in majestic form, the camel coats rubbing their hands together with glee as bet after bet went south and their pockets bulged.

When you spot a match that fits the criteria outlined above, there are a few options. The aforementioned 'double chance', the draw, an outright bet on the long odds team, a 'draw no bet' punt on the underdog, or a bet on the longshot in the +1 goal handicap market. All of these bets share at least one of two unattractive characteristics – either the price becomes very average, or only one outcome is any good to the punter. We've all been there – you watch in dismay as the valiant heroes you backed at fancy prices take and hold a merited one nil lead until the ninety-third minute when some outrageous slice of luck results in a wholly undeserved equaliser. The two way simply means that we bet on the draw and on the underdog to win. And if we find two or three of these matches, some very juicy accumulated odds with multiple winning outcomes are possible.

Let's say we had found two other similarly priced matches that afternoon which met our criteria. To combine them into a 'two way treble' we would need to have eight bets (trebles) in all:

(W = underdog win, X = draw, example odds H4/6 D16/5 A5/1)
WWW
WWX
WXW
XWW
WXX
XWX
XXW
XXX

The best possible winning outcome? The three underdogs all win to land accumulated odds of 215/1. The worst case winning scenario is that all three draw at accumulated odds of 73/1. The potential returns represent real value in my view, as there's no way these odds are a true reflection of the actual chances of any winning combination occurring, and over the course of a season you only need to get the odd one right for some very healthy returns.

Tips for Football Accumulator Betting and Advice By That's a Goal

Tips for Football Accumulator Betting and Advice: "Betting on accumulators is one of the most popular ways of placing a football bet and there are a few techniques and systems that people use to give themselves the best chance to win an accumulator."

One system is to back all the short priced favourites in an accumulator bet and hope that they all live up to expectations and win their match, giving a winning acca at short odds, but with apparent less risk.

The second way to go about accumulator betting is to pick home teams who are fancied to win, but are not at really short prices such as 1/4, 1/3 or even 1/2. This system means you can pick four selections around odds of Evens in the betting and your accumulator would pay out around the 8/1 mark, turning a £10 bet into £90 if successful. This is a decent tip on accumulator betting because it balances the risk factor between backing a lot of short priced favourites for a small reward, and backing a few longer priced teams with a much greater risk.

One this to look out for when betting on an accumulator is the shorter priced favourite being the away team. To the naked eye a team such as Manchester United or Manchester City playing away to a team like QPR, Sunderland or Stoke looks very good value at a price around 10/11, but being away from home is always difficult and these teams do not always win, look at Chelsea’s 0-0 draw at QPR, or Manchester United’s opening day loss at Everton. These teams are often best avoided when betting on an accumulator and this is one of the best tips we can give.

For the more adventurous accumulator punter, betting on draws is a high risk way to secure a fantastic payout if you get your selections right, four matches correctly predicted to be a draw could see a payout of up to 100/1, that means a £1 bet could win £100! This type of accumulator tip is rarely found because it is such a hard conundrum trying to pick which games will end up being a draw, however as you can see, the rewards are phenomenal.

If I were to offer you some solid accumulator betting advice, it would be to stick predominantly to home teams and look for prices of 4/6 and above, this means all your selections add real value to bet and it is probably easier, and more reliable to find one 4/6 selection that will win that three 1/3 shots where an upset could easily scupper your accumulator.

For more accumulator betting tips keep checking my blog where I will have three or four accumulator tips every single week.

How to bet on the half-time/full-time market in football betting By Andrew Clark

How to bet on the half-time/full-time market in football betting: "The half-time/full-time betting market is a fantastic way to enhance the odds of a short priced favourite, or to get some real betting value out of a football match if you think the fixture looks volatile."

When betting on the HT/FT market in a football match you need to predict what the result will be at half time, and full time. For example if you are expecting a team to dominate a match you could bet in them in the half-time/full-time market where this system would mean they have to be winning the match at the end of either half.

In many cases there is value to be had on this market when you take the strategy of betting on the draw being the half time result, there is then the problem to solve as to what the full time result in the match will be. Betting on a short price favourite in a football match to be drawing at half-time and winning at full-time will give you a price around the 4/1 mark and this is usually the most profitable way to play this betting system.

The more adventurous punter can try to extract some real value and profit out of this betting market by betting on one team to be winning at half-time but losing at full-time. The price of this outcome could well give betting odds of anything around 28/1. A famous example of this was Sunderland vs Blackburn in the 2011/12 season where Blackburn had a reputation of losing a lead in matches. They were winning at half-time, only to lose the match come the full-time whistle. This half-time/full-time outcome was priced at 28/1 and left punters delighted.

Using this betting strategy can reap rewards in so many ways, whether it be getting better odds on a short priced favourite or using the market to get some bigger prices from the more unusual half-time/full-time predicted outcomes.