YOUR NO 1 BLOG: 02/12/15

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Thursday accumulator tips - Our15/2 European fourfold

Matches in four different domestic Cup competitions around Europe combine for our Thursday accumulator that pays over 15/2.

Galatasaray to win at home to Konyaspor (11/20)

Xanthi to win away to OFI Crete (10/11)

Slask Wroclaw/Draw double chance at home to Legia Warsaw (8/13)

Anderlecht to win at home to Gent (4/5)

Galatasaray to win at home to Konyaspor (17:00 GMT)
This is a Turkish Cup last-16 tie and Galatasaray, who are vying for their country’s Super Lig title with Besiktas and Fenerbahce, look strong enough on their own pitch to go through. Konyaspor have the joint worst goalscoring record away from home in the league and will sure struggle if they concede.

Xanthi to win away to OFI Crete (17:30 GMT)

The Greek Cup is at the quarter - final stage and this is the first leg of a home-and-away tie, with Xanthi set to give their chances a big boost on their trip to Heraklion. Xanthi have an outside chance of playing Europa League football next term whereas OFI Crete are battling to avoid relegation, and the difference in form over the season is expected to be borne out.

Slask Wroclaw/Draw double chance at home to Legia Warsaw (19:00 GMT)

A semi-final place in the Polish Cup is up for grabs from this two-legged tie between the top two teams in the Ekstraklasa table and this could be a tight contest. Legia Warsaw are only three points ahead of Slask Wroclaw in the league and so the home team will be hopeful of being level at least for their trip to the capital.

Anderlecht to win at home to Gent (19:45 GMT)
Unless there is a stunning turnaround in either tie, the Belgian Cup final this season will be between Anderlecht and Bruges. Anderlecht won the first leg of this semi-final 2-0 away to Gent and are expected to increase their a greatest margin of victory.

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Football accumulator tips – Thursday

After the highs of the Premier League over the last couple of days, it’s back down to earth on Thursday as we should Europe for the best bets. There are very few fixtures, but that doesn’t mean we can’t find some good value, and there are a couple of domestic cup matches that catch the eye.

In France, newly promoted Metz take on Ligue Two opposition in Brest, with a place in the quarter-finals at stake, and based on recent history it promises to be a tight game. Mean while in Belgium, Anderlecht and Gent play the second leg of their cup semi-final, wit the home side protecting a two-goal lead from the first leg. We’re recommending a double on the two games which returns better than 5/1.

Metz v Brest – Draw
Anderlecht v Gent – Home win

Metz v Brest – Correct score 1-1

Metz were promoted to Ligue One last season after winning Ligue Two by 11 clear points (Brest were back in 7th), but it’s been a tough time for them back in the top tier, and they currently sit bottom of the table. They’ve only won five League games all season, and the only two they’ve won in the last fifteen have been in the cup – 2-1 away at Espinal and 3-0
after extra-time away at Avranches. On that basis you’d think the cup would be welcome relief from their League campaign, but Brest will not be easy opposition. They’re pushing for promotion from Ligue Two themselves, and are second in the table after a good season so far. They’ve only lost 4 times in 23 league games, and are a team in good form. Away from home, they’ve only last 4 in the last fifteen and come here with every chance of getting a result.

The head-to-head between these two confirms that this ought to be a tight game. There have only been two goals scored in the last four meetings on Metz’s ground, with a couple of 0-0 draws and a couple of 1-0 Metz victories. The safest bet on this game would be a punt on under 2.5 goals at around 8/15 and we wouldn’t put anyone off substituting the
draw for that selection, but we’re going for the bigger odds on the stalemate.

Anderlecht v Gent – Correct score 3-1

Anderlecht won the first leg 2-0 and are in a very strong position to progress to the final of the competition, where they're probably play Club Brugges. They’re a close second behind those rivals in the Jupiler League and would be entitled to have one eye on a potential league and cup double. However, they’ll have to get past Gent first, who are not without a chance of turning the tie on it’s head. They’re fourth in the table, just 3 points behind Anderlecht, and are in good recent form. The stat that goes against them though, is the one that tells us they’ve lost their last nine consecutive matches on this ground, and haven’t better Anderlecht here for 15 years. They lost 4-1 on their most recent visit, and over 2.5 goals looks a good bet at evens. It’s a cup game, so Gent have nothing to lose by attacking Anderlecht to try and work their way back into the tie, but that will probably play into the home side’s hands and they’ll be able to expose the visitors at the other end.