In almost every instance you will get one team as favourite to win and the other team will be the outsider with the odds on the draw being pitched somewhere in between. Although people say bookmakers are never wrong, sometimes they over compensate for a favourite and their odds are therefore too short, leaving the value bet in the draw or the other team to win.
The best example of this is when the ‘better’ team are playing away from home. You will regularly see a strong away team under-priced on the betting market and this leaves the value in the draw bet or a bet on the home team to win, at more attractive odds. Using this football betting system also works if you are looking at accumulator bets, our advice would be to avoid short priced away teams in any multiple bets. Despite them being the stronger side on paper a look at their opposition is key and there are certainly some teams where the bigger clubs do not like to play e.g. Everton, Fulham and Sunderland.
When the ‘better’ team are playing at home you will often see some very unattractive odds e.g. 1/3, 1/4 or shorter. These odds are no good to the standard punter (betting £4 to get a return of £5 is hardly a fool-proof system) and in this instance picking a couple of short price home teams for an accumulator could be the better betting system, although the more selections you choose the bigger the risk. Then you might be better off looking on casino.bwin.be/en/ for lower risk opportunities of winning.
Finally you could look at a betting system surrounding the draw market. When two teams are closely matched you will often find a short price for the draw (around 2/1) and these are probably best avoided but if the favourite is playing away from home the odds for the draw could be anything over 5/2, giving a respectable betting proposition and the value of the match.
The key with betting on the win-draw-win market is you have a good knowledge of the teams including any injuries or suspensions, the current form of both teams (both home and away) and the history of the fixture in question.
If you stick to these simple rules then the system of betting on the outright market could make your football betting profitable.
Hi, thanks for these betting tips! While the win-draw-win is an easy way to bet, I think it's sometimes easier when you eliminate the chances of a draw such as in the Asian Handicap market. You also get cushion from losing everything as some handicaps would refund half your stake (ex: -0.25, -0.50) if you there's a draw or if the team wins only by 1 goal margin. Some find it complicated but I often suggest for beginners to use a "spread chart" to visualize how they could win their bets: win, lose half, win half, lose all, etc. If I may suggest one good bookmaker on this particular market, it would be sbobet, West Ham's shirt sponsor a year ago I think. They often got the best football odds or prices on that department. Great article! Cheers!
ReplyDelete